Buckle up, Tiger fans! It doesn’t get much better than this. This rivalry has given us some classics over the years, and Tiger Stadium will be rocking with anticipation tomorrow night. The build up, the hype videos, the combination of excitement and nervousness that I only get for the biggest games…this is what sets college football apart. It’s the second top 10 matchup for LSU of the year, and we get this one at home. LSU doesn’t have a true rival, but in the modern era Florida comes second only to Alabama. This has all the makings of a classic, but will it truly be one? Let’s dive deeper into the matchups.
Florida offense vs LSU defense
From a talent standpoint, LSU has more talent on defense than Florida has on their offense. Florida has a an extremely talented and diverse group of receivers, a solid QB, adequate running backs, and a below average offensive line. In this environment, everything points to LSU dominating. The problem is we still don’t know if this defense can be dominant. We have future draft picks in the secondary that haven’t been consistent, and future pros on the defensive line that haven’t been healthy. The equalizer is Dan Mullen. The Florida head coach is elite at 1) maximizing the strengths of his QB, and 2) creating mismatches. If there is a LB on the field, Mullen will find a way to get a shifty WR on him. Athletic TE Kyle Pitts is a constant mismatch that Mullen will use in different ways from the line, slot, and out wide. I expect to see plenty of backup QB Emory Jones to help boost the running game. The return of DE Rashard Lawrence and LB Michael Divinity is significant. If Florida can’t run the ball, this game might get ugly. Florida QB Kyle Trask is not currently equipped to put the game on his back in an environment like the one he’ll see tomorrow night, and he’s coming off an injury. I give LSU the nod in this battle, especially at home.
LSU offense vs Florida defense
This clash is receiving the majority of the attention in the national media. LSU’s offense has been unstoppable to this point, averaging 571 yards per game, good for 2nd in the nation. Florida’s dominant defense gives up 276 yards per game, which is 11th nationally. Surprisingly, LSU gives up only 9 more yards a game than Florida, which tells me our defense isn’t nearly as bad as some tiger fans think it is. I’m not completely sold on the LSU offensive line, but I’m not worried about it. This group won’t blow people off the line in the run game, but they’ve been better than advertised in pass protection. The majority of the pressure has come when Burrow has held the ball too long. I have a great deal of respect for Florida’s defensive line, and NFL scouts will be lined up to watch the LSU receivers against the loaded Florida secondary. I simply don’t believe Florida can defend this group of receivers. Jefferson and Chase will win more times than not against single coverage, regardless of the secondary. I expect Ensminger to run enough to keep the defense honest, and lean heavily on the hurry up offense. High tempo offenses limit the calls a defense can make, and simplify the reads for the QB. Advantage LSU.
Everything I know about the history of this rivalry tells me that this will be a hard fought thriller, BUT Florida’s QB is hurt. Their defensive numbers are great, but they haven’t played against an offense with a pulse. They beat LSU last year on a pick 6 by a player, Brad Stewart, that’s from Louisiana. Emotions matter in college football. LSU has the revenge factor and home crowd in their favor. Florida has to reach the same level of intensity as they did last week against Auburn, which rarely happens at this level. Vegas has LSU favored by over 13 points for a reason. I have LSU pulling away, 38-21. This passing game is legit. Burrow talks AND he backs it up. We’ll see numbers 1 and 2 dancing in the endzone tomorrow night. GEAUX TIGERS!!!