The LSU/Auburn rivalry has given us the “Earthquake Game”, the “Barnburner”, the “Cigar Game”, and for lack of a nickname, the “Les Miles got himself fired in the most Les Miles way possible game”. The purpose of this lengthy introduction is to emphasize the point that you never know what could happen in these games. LSU will start a six game stretch of conference games at Jordan-Hare Stadium Saturday against a seemingly overmatched Auburn team. The Auburn elites couldn’t come up with a valid reason to fire Head Coach Brian Harsin in the offseason, so he’s now a sitting duck with his fate hanging on the results of each game. The general consensus on this year’s Auburn team is they have no offensive identity, and the defense is not up to the standard established by years of physical Auburn teams. As LSU has improved from week to week this year, one might wonder how they could lose Saturday. I’ll take a deeper dive to see.
LSU Offense vs. Auburn Defense
Auburn is currently ninth in the SEC in total defense, giving up 347 yards per game. The statistics are even less impressive considering they’ve only played one team with a pulse in Penn State. The hosting Tigers don’t instill fear at any level of the defense, but the linebackers have been surprisingly ineffective considering the personnel. Owen Pappoe and Derick Hall are unquestionably talented players, but the group has not played well as a whole. Jayden Daniels has quietly gotten more patient with every game, and part of his growth is due to the improved play of the offensive line. LSU will lose starting left guard Garrett Dellinger this week, so Miles Frazier will shift to the left side as Anthony Bradford steps in at right guard. From what I’ve seen from Auburn so far, I do not expect them to have answers for LSU’s running game, even without Armoni Goodwin. There could be more explosive plays than usual for LSU in the passing game due to Auburn overcompensating to stop the run. LSU gets the nod, here.
LSU Defense vs. Auburn Offense
Auburn has elite talent at running back with Tank Bigsby and Jarquez Hunter, but the quarterback position has been a problem. LSU transfer T.J. Finley was not playing well before his injury, and the results have not been much better with current starter Robby Ashford. The Auburn offense lacks direction and production right now. Tight end John Samuel Shenker had a telling quote on the “Locked On Auburn” podcast when asked about their recent win against Missouri, “There were mistakes made, giving us another chance. Gave them some chances…Not real sure how some things worked out, but it did.” This quote gives the impression that the team itself doesn’t even know how they won the game. LSU Defensive Coordinator Matt House has impressed me since the Florda State game. He’s made the most of the versatility of his players. Jay Ward has played safety and nickel. Harold Perkins has played as an inside linebacker and edge rusher. House will get Arkansas transfer safety Joe Foucha back this week, which couldn’t have come at a better time, now that Major Burns is unavailable with a neck injury. LSU should focus on stopping the run, as I’m not convinced that Auburn can do anything offensively if that’s the case. Big advantage to LSU in this matchup.
On paper, this should not be a close game. I’m hesitant to predict a blowout simply because it’s hard to beat Auburn at home. I have disturbingly vivid memories of LSU losing 48-11 in 2020 and 41-7 in 2014. Fortunately, this is a different era with an Auburn coach with one foot out the door. The current reality is these are two teams going in opposite directions. LSU wins 31-13, as Les Miles celebrates (wherever he is) with a plug of grass and claps robotically. Geaux Tigers!!